The Juggernaut Index

The Juggernaut Index Do the largest value creators outperform? November 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Selecting the top 10 stocks that created the most shareholder value is not a sound investment strategy Neither is selecting the top...

What´s Better than the S&P 500?

What´s Better than the S&P 500? A review of core equity funds October 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Only 23.7% of U.S. core equity funds have generated a higher Sharpe ratio than the S&P 500 Some of these are cheaper, others...

Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly?

Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly? What happens in Monte Carlo, should stay in Monte Carlo January 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Financial advisors primarily use Monte Carlo simulations to forecast returns However, this...

Trend Following in Bear Markets

Trend Following in Bear Markets Does it work? January 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Short-only trend following in stocks generated consistent losses across markets However, combining the strategy with an equities portfolio generated...