Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly?

Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly? What happens in Monte Carlo, should stay in Monte Carlo January 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Financial advisors primarily use Monte Carlo simulations to forecast returns However, this...

Trend Following in Bear Markets

Trend Following in Bear Markets Does it work? January 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Short-only trend following in stocks generated consistent losses across markets However, combining the strategy with an equities portfolio generated...

Failing to Build High Sharpe Ratio-Portfolios

Failing to Build High Sharpe Ratio-Portfolios A Sharpe ratio of 1 should be easily achievable, right? November 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY High Sharpe ratios are attractive given consistent returns However, the traditional 60/40...

Covered Call Strategies Uncovered

Covered Call Strategies Uncovered Trading income for capital returns July 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Covered call strategies aim to offer index-like returns with lower volatility and higher yields They have underperformed their...