The Trouble With Forecasting House Prices

The Trouble with Forecasting House Prices Complex and complicated, but the outlook is poor September 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY House price growth is based on supply & demand imbalances or speculation Residential property...

CTAs vs Global Macro Hedge Funds

CTAs vs Global Macro Hedge Funds Systematic versus Discretionary Masters of the Universe August 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY CTAs and global macro hedge funds offer attractive diversification benefits However, both are moderately...

GARP Investing: Golden or Garbage? II

GARP Investing: Golden or Garbage? II More the latter than the former unfortunately August 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Buying cheap growth stocks is intuitively appealing to investors Almost 50% of the US stocks are trading below a...

BDCs: Better Don’t Choose?

BDCs: Better Don’t Choose? Another strategy that trades income for capital returns August 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Business development companies (BDC) funds feature 10%+ annual fees Investors seem to be willing to accept...

Hitting Home Runs with AI Investing?

Hitting Home Runs with AI Investing? Nope, back to practice. July 2023. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY The survival rate of AI-focused ETFs is low The track record of AI ETFs is mediocre AI hedge funds struggle to outperform general hedge...