Duration of U.S. Equities – II

Duration of U.S. Equities – II How sensitive are stocks to changes in interest rates? February 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY There are multiple ways to measure interest rate sensitivities “High-duration” stocks like...

HY Bonds = High or Hazardous Yield?

HY Bonds = High or Hazardous Yield? Sacrificing return of capital for return on capital February 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY The correlation of high yield (HY) to investment-grade (IG) bonds has been increasing HY bonds can simply...

Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly?

Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly? What happens in Monte Carlo, should stay in Monte Carlo January 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Financial advisors primarily use Monte Carlo simulations to forecast returns However, this...

Trend Following in Bear Markets

Trend Following in Bear Markets Does it work? January 2024. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener. SUMMARY Short-only trend following in stocks generated consistent losses across markets However, combining the strategy with an equities portfolio generated...